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© 2026 PolyThoughts. Not financial advice.

Data sourced from Polymarket and Kalshi

Top Volume

1Will a hurricane form by May 31?$912Highest temperature in Toronto on February 28?$03Highest temperature in Seoul on February 28?$04Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on February 28?$05Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on February 28?$0
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Weather Prediction Markets

Prediction market odds on temperature records, extreme weather events, and climate forecasts.

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

6%
Polymarket24h Vol $91
Ends May 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Toronto on February 28?

Highest temperature in Toronto on February 28?

48%6°C or higher
36%4°C
36%5°C
9%3°C
Polymarket24h Vol $12
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Seoul on February 28?

Highest temperature in Seoul on February 28?

29%14°C or higher
26%10°C
25%12°C
24%11°C
Polymarket24h Vol $483
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on February 28?

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on February 28?

25%30°C
25%31°C
25%32°C
25%33°C
Polymarket24h Vol $0
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on February 28?

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on February 28?

28%27°C or higher
24%25°C
23%24°C
22%26°C
Polymarket24h Vol $643
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Paris on February 28?

Highest temperature in Paris on February 28?

26%12°C
24%13°C
24%14°C
22%11°C
Polymarket24h Vol $480
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in London on February 28?

Highest temperature in London on February 28?

33%11°C
25%10°C
25%12°C
24%13°C
Polymarket24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Dallas on February 28?

Highest temperature in Dallas on February 28?

21%82-83°F
21%84-85°F
19%86-87°F
18%80-81°F
Polymarket24h Vol $506
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Atlanta on February 28?

Highest temperature in Atlanta on February 28?

35%70-71°F
28%68-69°F
26%72°F or higher
21%66-67°F
Polymarket24h Vol $570
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Miami on February 28?

Highest temperature in Miami on February 28?

28%78-79°F
28%80-81°F
25%82-83°F
23%84-85°F
Polymarket24h Vol $41
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Chicago on February 28?

Highest temperature in Chicago on February 28?

32%36-37°F
17%42°F or higher
9%38-39°F
8%34-35°F
Polymarket24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Ankara on February 28?

Highest temperature in Ankara on February 28?

25%4°C
25%6°C
25%7°C
24%5°C
Polymarket24h Vol $236
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on February 28?

Highest temperature in NYC on February 28?

49%50°F or higher
32%46-47°F
30%48-49°F
8%44-45°F
Polymarket24h Vol $1.4K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Wellington on February 28?

Highest temperature in Wellington on February 28?

24%19°C
23%18°C
23%20°C
21%21°C or higher
Polymarket24h Vol $626
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Seattle on February 28?

Highest temperature in Seattle on February 28?

37%50-51°F
36%48-49°F
23%52-53°F
22%54-55°F
Polymarket24h Vol $162
Ends Feb 28, 2026

Latest News

← Back to home

Weather Prediction Markets

Prediction market odds on temperature records, extreme weather events, and climate forecasts.

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

6%
Polymarket24h Vol $91
Ends May 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Toronto on February 28?

Highest temperature in Toronto on February 28?

48%6°C or higher
36%4°C
36%5°C
9%3°C
Polymarket24h Vol $12
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Seoul on February 28?

Highest temperature in Seoul on February 28?

29%14°C or higher
26%10°C
25%12°C
24%11°C
Polymarket24h Vol $483
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on February 28?

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on February 28?

25%30°C
25%31°C
25%32°C
25%33°C
Polymarket24h Vol $0
Ends Feb 28, 2026

Top Volume

1Will a hurricane form by May 31?$912Highest temperature in Toronto on February 28?$03Highest temperature in Seoul on February 28?$04Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on February 28?$05Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on February 28?$0
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on February 28?

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on February 28?

28%27°C or higher
24%25°C
23%24°C
22%26°C
Polymarket24h Vol $643
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Paris on February 28?

Highest temperature in Paris on February 28?

26%12°C
24%13°C
24%14°C
22%11°C
Polymarket24h Vol $480
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in London on February 28?

Highest temperature in London on February 28?

33%11°C
25%10°C
25%12°C
24%13°C
Polymarket24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Dallas on February 28?

Highest temperature in Dallas on February 28?

21%82-83°F
21%84-85°F
19%86-87°F
18%80-81°F
Polymarket24h Vol $506
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Atlanta on February 28?

Highest temperature in Atlanta on February 28?

35%70-71°F
28%68-69°F
26%72°F or higher
21%66-67°F
Polymarket24h Vol $570
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Miami on February 28?

Highest temperature in Miami on February 28?

28%78-79°F
28%80-81°F
25%82-83°F
23%84-85°F
Polymarket24h Vol $41
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Chicago on February 28?

Highest temperature in Chicago on February 28?

32%36-37°F
17%42°F or higher
9%38-39°F
8%34-35°F
Polymarket24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Ankara on February 28?

Highest temperature in Ankara on February 28?

25%4°C
25%6°C
25%7°C
24%5°C
Polymarket24h Vol $236
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on February 28?

Highest temperature in NYC on February 28?

49%50°F or higher
32%46-47°F
30%48-49°F
8%44-45°F
Polymarket24h Vol $1.4K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Wellington on February 28?

Highest temperature in Wellington on February 28?

24%19°C
23%18°C
23%20°C
21%21°C or higher
Polymarket24h Vol $626
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Highest temperature in Seattle on February 28?

Highest temperature in Seattle on February 28?

37%50-51°F
36%48-49°F
23%52-53°F
22%54-55°F
Polymarket24h Vol $162
Ends Feb 28, 2026

Latest News