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Economics Prediction Markets
See prediction market odds on economic indicators, Fed rate decisions, GDP, CPI, and employment data.
CPI year-over-year in May 2026?
99%Exactly 3.1%
99%Exactly 2.2%
97%Exactly 2.4%
96%Exactly 2.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.2M
Ends Jun 10, 2026
Inflation in Feb 2026? (CPI YoY)
96%Above 2.2%
84%Above 2.3%
49%Above 2.4%
10%Above 2.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $16.0K
Ends Mar 11, 2026
CPI in Feb 2026?
99%Above -0.1%
96%Above 0.0%
89%Above 0.1%
56%Above 0.2%
Kalshi24h Vol $6.0K
Ends Mar 11, 2026
CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026?
100%Exactly 3.1%
100%Exactly 3.2%
100%Exactly 3.7%
100%Exactly 3.6%
Kalshi24h Vol $4.6K
Ends Jul 14, 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
94%4.0%
66%3.8%
65%3.9%
54%3.7%
Polymarket24h Vol $4.2K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
March Unemployment Rate
31%4.4%
30%4.3%
14%4.2%
14%4.5%
Polymarket24h Vol $3.9K
Ends Apr 3, 2026
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
91%Above 1.0%
84%Above 1.5%
78%Above 2.0%
65%Above 2.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $3.9K
Ends Apr 30, 2026
Recession this year?
23%
Kalshi24h Vol $3.6K
Ends Jan 31, 2027
Unemployment in Feb 2026
99%Above 3.9%
99%Above 3.8%
97%Above 4.0%
92%Above 4.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $2.9K
Ends Mar 6, 2026
Bank of Mexico Rate Decision in March
82%Cut 25bps
16%Maintain current rate
2%Cut more than 50bps
1%Hike 50bps
Kalshi24h Vol $2.3K
Ends Mar 26, 2026
Bank of Canada decision in March?
97%No change
2%25 bps decrease
1%Increase
<1%50+ bps decrease
Polymarket24h Vol $1.9K
Ends Mar 18, 2026
Brazilian GDP growth in Q4 2025? (YoY)
96%Above 0.5%
82%Above 1.5%
8%Above 3.5%
6%Above 4.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.8K
Ends Mar 3, 2026
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
28%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.8K
Ends Jan 1, 2027
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
32%Above 5%
15%Above 6%
6%Above 7%
6%Above 8%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Jan 8, 2027
Bank of England Rate Decision in March
95%Cut 1-25 basis points
7%Cut more than 25bp
6%Hike 1-25 basis points
5%Maintain current rate
Kalshi24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Mar 19, 2026
Bank of Japan Rate Decision in March
100%Hike 25bps
98%Cut more than 25bps
97%Hike more than 25bps
97%Cut 25bps
Kalshi24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Mar 19, 2026
CPI core in Feb 2026?
99%Above 0.0%
87%Above 0.1%
47%Above 0.2%
13%Above 0.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.4K
Ends Mar 11, 2026
Bank of Canada Rate Decision in March
96%Maintains rate
3%Cut >25bps
3%Cut 25bps
2%Hike 25bps
Kalshi24h Vol $1.2K
Ends Mar 18, 2026
Argentina Monthly Inflation - February
45%2.5–2.7%
31%2.8–3.0%
9%2.2–2.4%
8%3.1–3.3%
Polymarket24h Vol $1.2K
Ends Mar 12, 2026
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026?
24%Exactly 0.3%
13%Exactly 0.2%
13%Exactly 0.1%
9%Exactly 0.4%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.2K
Ends Jun 10, 2026
CPI core month-over-month in Apr 2026?
29%Exactly 0.2%
24%Exactly 0.4%
20%Exactly 0.3%
13%Exactly 0.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $988
Ends May 12, 2026
France unemployment rate in Q1 2026?
98%Above 7.2%
98%Above 7.3%
97%Above 7.4%
97%Above 7.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $744
Ends Jun 19, 2026
Unemployment rate in Feb 2026?
29%Exactly 4.3%
28%Exactly 4.4%
20%Exactly 4.2%
14%Exactly 4.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $740
Ends Mar 6, 2026
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?
48%2
31%1
15%3
4%0
Kalshi24h Vol $718
Ends Mar 18, 2026
Core inflation in Feb 2026? (Core CPI YoY)
98%Above 2.1%
96%Above 2.2%
91%Above 2.3%
69%Above 2.4%
Kalshi24h Vol $670
Ends Mar 11, 2026
CPI year-over-year in Feb 2026?
34%Exactly 2.4%
29%Exactly 2.5%
14%Exactly 2.3%
10%Exactly 2.6%
Kalshi24h Vol $659
Ends Mar 11, 2026
Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 27, 2026?
28%4.02% to 4.04%
25%4.05% to 4.07%
16%3.99% to 4.01%
14%4.08% to 4.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $601
Ends Feb 27, 2026
China unemployment rate in Feb 2026
98%Above 4.7%
98%Above 4.6%
97%Above 4.8%
93%Above 4.9%
Kalshi24h Vol $523
Ends Apr 14, 2026
CPI month-over-month in Feb 2026?
39%Exactly 0.2%
38%Exactly 0.3%
15%Exactly 0.1%
7%Exactly 0.4%
Kalshi24h Vol $493
Ends Mar 11, 2026
Inflation in Mar 2026 (CPI YoY)
98%Above 1.8%
97%Above 2.0%
97%Above 2.1%
97%Above 1.9%
Kalshi24h Vol $445
Ends Apr 10, 2026
US trade deficit for 2026?
86%Above 170 billion
5%105 billion to 119.5 billion
4%85 billion to 94.9 billion
4%140 billion to 170 billion
Kalshi24h Vol $417
Ends Feb 28, 2027
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 6.3% in Q4 2025?
96%
Kalshi24h Vol $413
Ends Mar 31, 2026
CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?
17%Exactly 0.3%
17%Exactly 0.2%
11%Exactly 0.5%
10%Exactly 0.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $383
Ends Jul 14, 2026
How high will inflation get this year?
47%At least 3%
22%At least 3.5%
11%At least 4%
9%At least 4.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $352
Ends Feb 14, 2027
When will the next US recession start?
9%Q1 2026
6%Q4 2025
1%Q2 2025
1%Q3 2025
Kalshi24h Vol $339
Ends Dec 31, 2026
CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026?
22%Exactly 0.3%
22%Exactly 0.2%
19%Exactly 0.4%
14%Exactly 0.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $238
Ends May 12, 2026
How much will core PCE increase in Jan 2026?
98%Above 0.0%
96%Above 0.1%
91%Above 0.2%
49%Above 0.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $227
Ends Mar 13, 2026
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
10%Exactly 4.7%
10%Exactly 4.6%
10%Exactly 4.5%
9%Exactly 4.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $210
Ends Nov 6, 2026
How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?
96%Above 0.0%
75%Above 0.1%
49%Above 0.2%
24%Above 0.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $200
Ends May 28, 2026
Brazil GDP Growth in Q4 2025?
47%1.6%–1.9%
27%≥2.4%
25%2.0%–2.3%
23%1.2%–1.5%
Polymarket24h Vol $190
Ends Mar 3, 2026
Bank of Russia Rate Decision in March
63%Cut 50bps
30%Maintain current rate
10%Cut 25bps
5%Cut more than 50bps
Kalshi24h Vol $186
Ends Mar 20, 2026
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?
11%Exactly 4.1%
11%Exactly 5.0%
10%Exactly 5.1%
9%Exactly 4.0%
Kalshi24h Vol $140
Ends Dec 4, 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
32%4.00% to 4.49%
29%3.50% to 3.99%
25%4.50% to 4.99%
23%3.00% to 3.49%
Polymarket24h Vol $135
Ends Jan 8, 2027
Latest News
← Back to home
Economics Prediction Markets
See prediction market odds on economic indicators, Fed rate decisions, GDP, CPI, and employment data.
CPI year-over-year in May 2026?
99%Exactly 3.1%
99%Exactly 2.2%
97%Exactly 2.4%
96%Exactly 2.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.2M
Ends Jun 10, 2026
Inflation in Feb 2026? (CPI YoY)
96%Above 2.2%
84%Above 2.3%
49%Above 2.4%
10%Above 2.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $16.0K
Ends Mar 11, 2026
CPI in Feb 2026?
99%Above -0.1%
96%Above 0.0%
89%Above 0.1%
56%Above 0.2%
Kalshi24h Vol $6.0K
Ends Mar 11, 2026
CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026?
100%Exactly 3.1%
100%Exactly 3.2%
100%Exactly 3.7%
100%Exactly 3.6%
Kalshi24h Vol $4.6K
Ends Jul 14, 2026
Unusual Activity
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
94%4.0%
66%3.8%
65%3.9%
54%3.7%
Polymarket24h Vol $4.2K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
March Unemployment Rate
31%4.4%
30%4.3%
14%4.2%
14%4.5%
Polymarket24h Vol $3.9K
Ends Apr 3, 2026
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
91%Above 1.0%
84%Above 1.5%
78%Above 2.0%
65%Above 2.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $3.9K
Ends Apr 30, 2026
Recession this year?
23%
Kalshi24h Vol $3.6K
Ends Jan 31, 2027
Unemployment in Feb 2026
99%Above 3.9%
99%Above 3.8%
97%Above 4.0%
92%Above 4.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $2.9K
Ends Mar 6, 2026
Bank of Mexico Rate Decision in March
82%Cut 25bps
16%Maintain current rate
2%Cut more than 50bps
1%Hike 50bps
Kalshi24h Vol $2.3K
Ends Mar 26, 2026
Bank of Canada decision in March?
97%No change
2%25 bps decrease
1%Increase
<1%50+ bps decrease
Polymarket24h Vol $1.9K
Ends Mar 18, 2026
Brazilian GDP growth in Q4 2025? (YoY)
96%Above 0.5%
82%Above 1.5%
8%Above 3.5%
6%Above 4.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.8K
Ends Mar 3, 2026
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
28%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.8K
Ends Jan 1, 2027
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
32%Above 5%
15%Above 6%
6%Above 7%
6%Above 8%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Jan 8, 2027
Bank of England Rate Decision in March
95%Cut 1-25 basis points
7%Cut more than 25bp
6%Hike 1-25 basis points
5%Maintain current rate
Kalshi24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Mar 19, 2026
Bank of Japan Rate Decision in March
100%Hike 25bps
98%Cut more than 25bps
97%Hike more than 25bps
97%Cut 25bps
Kalshi24h Vol $1.5K
Ends Mar 19, 2026
CPI core in Feb 2026?
99%Above 0.0%
87%Above 0.1%
47%Above 0.2%
13%Above 0.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.4K
Ends Mar 11, 2026
Bank of Canada Rate Decision in March
96%Maintains rate
3%Cut >25bps
3%Cut 25bps
2%Hike 25bps
Kalshi24h Vol $1.2K
Ends Mar 18, 2026
Argentina Monthly Inflation - February
45%2.5–2.7%
31%2.8–3.0%
9%2.2–2.4%
8%3.1–3.3%
Polymarket24h Vol $1.2K
Ends Mar 12, 2026
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026?
24%Exactly 0.3%
13%Exactly 0.2%
13%Exactly 0.1%
9%Exactly 0.4%
Kalshi24h Vol $1.2K
Ends Jun 10, 2026
CPI core month-over-month in Apr 2026?
29%Exactly 0.2%
24%Exactly 0.4%
20%Exactly 0.3%
13%Exactly 0.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $988
Ends May 12, 2026
France unemployment rate in Q1 2026?
98%Above 7.2%
98%Above 7.3%
97%Above 7.4%
97%Above 7.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $744
Ends Jun 19, 2026
Unemployment rate in Feb 2026?
29%Exactly 4.3%
28%Exactly 4.4%
20%Exactly 4.2%
14%Exactly 4.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $740
Ends Mar 6, 2026
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?
48%2
31%1
15%3
4%0
Kalshi24h Vol $718
Ends Mar 18, 2026
Core inflation in Feb 2026? (Core CPI YoY)
98%Above 2.1%
96%Above 2.2%
91%Above 2.3%
69%Above 2.4%
Kalshi24h Vol $670
Ends Mar 11, 2026
CPI year-over-year in Feb 2026?
34%Exactly 2.4%
29%Exactly 2.5%
14%Exactly 2.3%
10%Exactly 2.6%
Kalshi24h Vol $659
Ends Mar 11, 2026
Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 27, 2026?
28%4.02% to 4.04%
25%4.05% to 4.07%
16%3.99% to 4.01%
14%4.08% to 4.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $601
Ends Feb 27, 2026
China unemployment rate in Feb 2026
98%Above 4.7%
98%Above 4.6%
97%Above 4.8%
93%Above 4.9%
Kalshi24h Vol $523
Ends Apr 14, 2026
CPI month-over-month in Feb 2026?
39%Exactly 0.2%
38%Exactly 0.3%
15%Exactly 0.1%
7%Exactly 0.4%
Kalshi24h Vol $493
Ends Mar 11, 2026
Inflation in Mar 2026 (CPI YoY)
98%Above 1.8%
97%Above 2.0%
97%Above 2.1%
97%Above 1.9%
Kalshi24h Vol $445
Ends Apr 10, 2026
US trade deficit for 2026?
86%Above 170 billion
5%105 billion to 119.5 billion
4%85 billion to 94.9 billion
4%140 billion to 170 billion
Kalshi24h Vol $417
Ends Feb 28, 2027
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 6.3% in Q4 2025?
96%
Kalshi24h Vol $413
Ends Mar 31, 2026
CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?
17%Exactly 0.3%
17%Exactly 0.2%
11%Exactly 0.5%
10%Exactly 0.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $383
Ends Jul 14, 2026
How high will inflation get this year?
47%At least 3%
22%At least 3.5%
11%At least 4%
9%At least 4.5%
Kalshi24h Vol $352
Ends Feb 14, 2027
When will the next US recession start?
9%Q1 2026
6%Q4 2025
1%Q2 2025
1%Q3 2025
Kalshi24h Vol $339
Ends Dec 31, 2026
CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026?
22%Exactly 0.3%
22%Exactly 0.2%
19%Exactly 0.4%
14%Exactly 0.1%
Kalshi24h Vol $238
Ends May 12, 2026
How much will core PCE increase in Jan 2026?
98%Above 0.0%
96%Above 0.1%
91%Above 0.2%
49%Above 0.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $227
Ends Mar 13, 2026
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
10%Exactly 4.7%
10%Exactly 4.6%
10%Exactly 4.5%
9%Exactly 4.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $210
Ends Nov 6, 2026
How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?
96%Above 0.0%
75%Above 0.1%
49%Above 0.2%
24%Above 0.3%
Kalshi24h Vol $200
Ends May 28, 2026
Brazil GDP Growth in Q4 2025?
47%1.6%–1.9%
27%≥2.4%
25%2.0%–2.3%
23%1.2%–1.5%
Polymarket24h Vol $190
Ends Mar 3, 2026
Bank of Russia Rate Decision in March
63%Cut 50bps
30%Maintain current rate
10%Cut 25bps
5%Cut more than 50bps
Kalshi24h Vol $186
Ends Mar 20, 2026
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?
11%Exactly 4.1%
11%Exactly 5.0%
10%Exactly 5.1%
9%Exactly 4.0%
Kalshi24h Vol $140
Ends Dec 4, 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
32%4.00% to 4.49%
29%3.50% to 3.99%
25%4.50% to 4.99%
23%3.00% to 3.49%
Polymarket24h Vol $135
Ends Jan 8, 2027